Miami Heat Vs. Boston Celtics Predictions, Choices, Odds

The Eastern Conference Finals will resume on Monday night with a heavyweight Game 4 showdown between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics. Coverage starts offevolved from Boston’s TD Garden at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

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Celtics -7 (-110) at CaesarsMiami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Predictions

After finishing 7th inside the East with a record of 36-36 SU last year, Boston initially sustained that equal underwhelming pace with every other mediocre start to this season, because the Celtics opened with a frustrating 15-20 SU and ATS skid, with ten of these SU losses coming by 10+ PTS.

However, Boston has dominated defensively given that mid-January, thinking about the Celtics have allowed simply 103.6 DPPG across their ultra-modern 45-16 SU run, which includes a mean of 101.eight DPPG within the first two postseason rounds against Brooklyn and Milwaukee; and a median of 109.7 DPPG thru the primary 3 matchups of this series.

On the alternative hand, Miami dominated to open the season, because the Heat kicked things off with a strong eleven-5 SU and 12-4 ATS stretch, with nine of those SU victories coming with the aid of 10+ PTS.

Aside from a short 9-recreation skid in December (3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS), Miami has carried that identical momentum all the manner to the Conference Finals Round, thinking about the Heat input Game 4 riding an impressive 48-22 SU and forty-29-1 ATS stretch, while rating 1/3 in shielding efficiency and ninth in offensive performance in the course of that timeframe (1.a hundred and one OE, 1.050 DE).

I’ll again Boston here, as the Celtics sincerely published better capturing numbers than Miami in Game 3 regardless of dropping by six points, considering Boston scored 103 PTS on 49% FG and 38% 3FG in comparison to Miami’s 109 PTS on 47% FG and 33% 3FG; however, the identifying factor in Saturday’s affair become the Celtics’ 23-turnover collapse, which isn’t something Miami can rely on as this series progresses.Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat Betting Odds

More Odds 8:30 p.m. ETInjury ReportNBA Playoff Betting CentralMiami Heat Betting Analysis

  • SU: 63-33
  • ATS: 55-40-1
  • O/U: 54-42

After ultimate year’s underwhelming sixth-place finish (40-32 SU), the Heat made some ambitious offseason acquisitions to higher suit desires on the offensive stop, basically highlighted with the aid of the acquisition of six-time All-Star Kyle Lowry; and at the start, the whole lot labored flawlessly, as Miami kicked off the season with an excellent 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS stretch, with all however two of those SU victories coming through double-digits.

However, the intensity Miami sacrificed turned into briefly uncovered closer to the midway point of the season, as a revolving door of fitness troubles spiraled the Heat right into a quick three-6 SU and 2-7 ATS skid in December.

Depth hasn’t been an awful lot of an difficulty down the homestretch though, considering the Heat boast SU victories in forty eight in their closing 70 contests, which incorporates robust postseason facts of 10-4 SU and 9-5 ATS, notwithstanding Lowry lacking over 1/2 of those contests (eight).Boston Celtics Betting Analysis

  • SU: 60-36
  • ATS: fifty three-forty one-2
  • O/U: forty seven-forty seven-2

After final yr’s underwhelming 36-36 SU displaying, Boston stumbled out a further mediocre start to this season, as the Celtics opened with a irritating 15-20 SU skid, no matter getting tagged as favorites in 22 of those contests.

However, Boston has arguably been the freshest team in basketball since the halfway point of the season, thinking about the Celtics enter Game 4 driving an outstanding 45-16 SU stretch, at the same time as scoring 114+ PTS in 30 of these contests (112.7 OPPG) and allowing 100 PTS or less in 24 of them (103.6 DPPG).The Heat are thirteen-5-1 ATS of their final 19 street games. (Getty Images)Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Head-to-Head

Miami won -of-three normal-season matchups in opposition to Boston ultimate year, with each Heat’ victories hovering over the overall at a median of 252 OPPG, while the Celtics’ lone win stayed below with a score of 107-a hundred and five (U 217).

However, the Celtics went three-0 SU against Miami this season, with their first and third matchups staying properly beneath the full at a mean of 188.five PPG, whilst the second one went over with a rating of 122-ninety two (O 210).

The first two matchups of this collection in Miami have been pretty the rollercoaster though, because the Heat ran away with a double-digit home victory in Game 1 after outscoring Boston 39-14 in the 1/3 area (118-107, O 204); which the Celtics countered with a dominant win in their own in Game 2, as Boston erupted for 127 PTS in the back of a mind-blowing 20-of-forty three-factor overall performance in closing Thursday’s contest (127-102, O 206).

In Game 3, but, the traveling group prospered again, as Miami jumped out to a massive 21-factor lead in the first region of Saturday’s affair (39-18) and slightly held on for the win way to Boston turning the ball over 23 times at some stage in the contest (109-103, O 208).Get the VI Daily Newsletter!Get the VI Daily Newsletter!

Email Address*Key Players to Watch

  • MIA: Jimmy Butler – SF (21.4 PPG, 5.9 REB, five.5 AST)
  • MIA: Bam Adebayo – C (19.1 PPG, 10.1 REB, three.four AST)
  • BOS: Jayson Tatum – SF (26.nine PPG, eight REB, four.four AST)
  • BOS: Jaylen Brown – SG (23.6 PPG, 6.1 REB, three.five AST)

Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Betting Conclusion

After posting an outstanding avenue victory in Game three this beyond Saturday (W, 109-103), the Heat enter Monday’s fourth matchup as seven-factor avenue underdogs towards the Celtics at TD Garden, which is barely heavier than the quantity Boston turned into favored via in Saturday’s contest (MIA +5).

I’ll again Boston here, as Miami’s beautiful victory in Game three makes the Heat 3-3 SU and ATS on the road because the start of the playoffs (109-103, O 208), while averaging just 102.5 OPPG on forty four% FG and 36% 3FG throughout the ones six contests; and even as the Celtics haven’t been overly astonishing at home this postseason (4-three SU, three-4 ATS), I still assume them to bounce back with a commanding win at TD Garden in Game four.Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Betting Trends

  • The Celtics are 13-5 ATS of their remaining 18 games.
  • The Heat are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 video games.
  • The overall has gone UNDER in four of the remaining six Heat’ video games.
  • The overall has long gone OVER in five of the ultimate seven Celtics’ games.
  • The Heat are 13-five-1 ATS of their last 19 road games.
  • The overall has long gone OVER in 4 of the closing 5 matchups among the Heat and Celtics.
  • The total has long past OVER in five of Boston’s last six domestic matchups in opposition to Miami.

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